What a case review should contain
- Analysis date and time, market, instrument and timeframe
- Original chart or input and methodology version
- Initial observations, primary scenario and alternative scenario
- Illustrative entry zone, invalidation level and target area where relevant
- Defined follow-up window and subsequent outcome
- Invalidation, error, missed condition, limitations and risk disclosure
Three evidence labels
- Historical case review — Dates, original input, review window and selection method must be disclosed.
- Simulation — Inputs, rules, exclusions and the hypothetical nature of results must be disclosed.
- Live or forward observation — Timestamp, original scenario, updates and final review must be preserved.
What QIWU will not present as evidence
- An isolated profit screenshot without the original analysis
- A selected winning result presented as typical
- A win-rate figure without a defined sample and methodology
- A simulation presented as an actual investment result
- A backtest presented as a guarantee of future performance
- Testimonials rewritten into investment promises
Even a well-documented historical case cannot establish what will happen in a future market. Evidence can improve reviewability; it cannot remove uncertainty.
How to read a QIWU case review
- Read the original scenario before viewing the outcome.
- Check what would have invalidated the scenario.
- Compare the primary and alternative paths.
- Review the time horizon and whether costs were included.
- Evaluate the process separately from the financial result.